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Culture and gender did more to shape how people treated strangers than the thermostat
In A Nutshell
- A five-country experiment found that heat stress had almost no effect on how generous, selfish, or fair people were toward strangers, even when participants were visibly frustrated and uncomfortable.
- Gender was a stronger predictor of behavior than temperature: women were consistently more egalitarian and less competitive than men across all five countries.
- Cultural background also outweighed heat as a driver of economic behavior, with American participants showing notably higher tolerance for unequal outcomes compared to participants in Kenya, India, Colombia, and Mexico.
- The results suggest that the well-documented link between heat and real-world conflict likely operates through indirect factors, such as resource scarcity or prolonged exposure, rather than a direct effect on human social instincts.
Researchers heated laboratory rooms to temperatures as high as 34°C (93°F), watched participants grow frustrated and increasingly uncomfortable, then waited for human nature to crack. It didn’t.
A five-country experiment involving 1,636 participants found that heat stress, despite reliably worsening moods, had almost no measurable effect on how generous or selfish people behaved toward strangers. Where someone grew up and whether they were a man or a woman mattered far more than whatever the thermostat said.
For decades, the link between heat and human conflict has seemed almost self-evident. Crime and aggressive behavior often rise during hotter periods. Researchers have documented associations between rising temperatures and higher rates of inter-group violence and civil conflict across dozens of countries. Much of that work rests on the assumption that heat directly erodes the social instincts keeping people cooperative: fairness, generosity, restraint. A new study published in PNAS Nexus set out to test that assumption in a controlled setting and found it doesn’t hold up the way many scientists expected.
How Researchers Put Heat Stress to the Test
Sessions ran at five university campuses in Colombia, India, Kenya, Mexico, and the United States. Laboratory rooms were secretly heated or cooled to temperatures ranging from 18°C (about 64°F) to 34°C (about 93°F) using hidden electric heaters. Participants were not told temperature was being studied, and very few connected it to their decisions during post-session debriefs.
Once seated, participants played a series of economic games with real money on the line. Four “dictator games” put them in scenarios where they chose how to split points between themselves and an anonymous partner. Their choices classified each participant into one of four behavioral types: egalitarian (preferring equal splits), maximizer (preferring the highest combined payout), selfish (prioritizing personal gain regardless of the other person’s outcome), or spiteful (actively choosing outcomes where the other person ends up worse off). A fifth measure captured competitiveness, based on whether participants chose to enter a puzzle-solving tournament rather than accept a guaranteed flat rate.
Researchers also added a psychological “trigger” for a subset of participants, having them lose a competitive game before making their sharing decisions. Losing a competition, researchers reasoned, induces mild frustration. Heat plus irritation, the theory went, might cross a threshold that heat alone could not.
Heat Stress Tanked Moods. Behavior Was Another Story.
Heat worked as expected on one front. Participants in rooms above 30°C reported significantly higher frustration, tiredness, and unhappiness. They were uncomfortable, and they knew it.
What didn’t change was how they acted. After running multiple statistical models and controlling for age, income level, and cognitive ability, researchers found no significant effect of heat on any of the five preference types. As the authors wrote, “despite a strong negative effect on mood, elevated temperatures had little or no effect on social and economic preferences across countries.” Even when participants had just lost a competition before making sharing decisions, heat and frustration together still failed to move the needle.
Curiously, the only detectable effect ran opposite to predictions. High temperatures appeared to slightly reduce spitefulness in some statistical models rather than increase it, a result that contradicted the study’s original hypotheses.
What Culture and Gender Predicted That Heat Couldn’t
While heat faded as a predictor, cultural background came into sharp focus. Preferences for equal splits, for maximizing collective resources, and for competitiveness all varied across the five countries far more than they ever varied by room temperature.
American participants showed the highest tolerance for unequal outcomes and the strongest preference for maximizing total resources. Participants in Kenya, India, Colombia, and Mexico favored more equal distributions. Spitefulness, rare across all five countries, appeared most often in India and Kenya. Selfish behavior was the rarest category everywhere but showed up at slightly higher rates in the United States, Kenya, and India.
These differences held firm after controlling for individual income, life satisfaction, and social trust. What the country comparisons captured, the researchers suggested, was the accumulated weight of shared norms around fairness and competition, values that develop across generations and prove far more resistant to a warm afternoon than scientists may have assumed.
Gender told a similarly consistent story. Women were more egalitarian, less competitive, and less focused on maximizing their own payout than men across all five countries. Competitiveness showed the widest divide, with men significantly more likely to enter the tournament in every country except Kenya. Together, gender and culture were far stronger predictors of behavior than temperature in this experiment.
Why Heat Stress May Work Differently in the Real World
None of this means heat is irrelevant to human conflict. Decades of research link warmer temperatures to higher crime rates and violence, and that body of evidence is not in dispute. What this experiment tried to determine was whether heat acts directly on social instincts, or works through other channels a controlled lab setting cannot replicate.
Outside a lab, heat stress rarely arrives alone. It often coincides with resource scarcity, prolonged outdoor exposure, increased alcohol consumption, and compounding social pressure. A laboratory strips most of those variables away, which may be exactly why the effect disappeared once participants sat down at a controlled task in a controlled room. Sessions also averaged just over an hour, and the researchers acknowledged that days or weeks of unrelenting heat might wear down prosocial behavior in ways a single sitting cannot.
What the experiment rules out is a clean, direct line from body temperature to social breakdown. Heat made people miserable across five countries on three continents. It did not make them meaner. Culture and gender did more to shape how people treated strangers than anything a thermostat could produce, and for researchers trying to understand what a warming world will do to human cooperation, that may be the most important takeaway of all.
Disclaimer: This article is based on a single peer-reviewed study and should not be interpreted as the final word on how heat affects human behavior. The findings reflect results from university student participants across five countries and may not apply to the general population. Real-world factors, including prolonged heat exposure, resource scarcity, and social context, may produce different outcomes than those observed in a controlled laboratory setting.
Paper Notes
Study Limitations
All participants were university students recruited at a single institution within each country, which limits how broadly the findings apply. Student samples tend to be younger, more educated, and more comfortable in structured decision-making environments than the general public. Because sessions took place at one specific campus per country, cross-country differences may reflect local institutional culture rather than broader national norms. Laboratory conditions may also have neutralized real-world factors through which heat stress typically operates, including face-to-face confrontation and resource competition. Sessions averaged just over an hour, and longer heat exposure might produce different behavioral results. Colombia proved difficult to heat above 30°C, so that country’s heat threshold was set at 28.6°C. Because researchers could manipulate room temperature but not humidity, wet-bulb temperature conditions varied more across countries than dry-bulb temperatures did.
Funding and Disclosures
Funding was provided by the University of San Francisco. Authors declared no competing interests.
Publication Details
Authors: Alessandra Cassar, Andrew Hobbs, Jesse Anttila-Hughes, Francesco Bogliacino, Travis J. Lybbert, Irvin Rojas, Kelvin Mashisia Shikuku, John Chetwynd, Jake Cosgrove, Alexander Courtman, Andrew Hall, Stephanie Hermoso, Scott Klaus, Antonia Sottile, Nikita Tkachenko, and Bruce Wydick. Cassar and Wydick are affiliated with the Department of Economics, University of San Francisco. Lybbert and Wydick also hold appointments at the Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California, Davis. Rojas is with CIDE in Mexico City. Shikuku is with the International Livestock Research Institute in Nairobi. | Journal: PNAS Nexus | Title: “Gender and culture shape prosociality more than heat stress in a five-country experiment” | DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgag017 | Published: Advance access March 10, 2026







