(Credit: © Alpaca - stock.adobe.com)
In a Nutshell
- Ancient DNA from 132 people buried in a single tomb north of Paris shows two genetically distinct populations used the same grave, separated by a burial gap of about two centuries around 5,000 years ago.
- The earlier group was largely replaced by farmers whose ancestry traced to the Iberian Peninsula (modern Spain and Portugal), who spread north into the Paris Basin by about 2900 BC.
- Some of the dead carried plague, louse-borne relapsing fever, and other infections, and pollen records show forests regrew over former farmland during the gap, pointing to a population in decline, though no single cause is proven.
Buried beneath farmland about 30 miles north of Paris lies a stone tomb that held the remains of more than 300 people and a mystery that took ancient DNA to crack open. Two waves of people used the same grave, separated by a gap of a couple of centuries when nobody was buried there at all. A sweeping genetic analysis of 132 of those individuals now reveals that the two groups were two distinct populations, and the break between them lines up with a demographic crash that swept across northwestern Europe around 5,000 years ago.
Published in Nature Ecology & Evolution, the study offers some of the most detailed evidence yet for what researchers call the “Neolithic decline,” a period when farming communities that had spent centuries building massive stone monuments suddenly stopped and, in many regions, appear to have shrunk or vanished. Scientists have long debated whether this was a simple cultural shift or an actual population collapse. New data from the tomb at Bury points squarely toward the latter. People who built the tomb were largely replaced by a genetically distinct group whose roots trace back to the Iberian Peninsula, or modern-day Spain and Portugal.
And the story gets more gripping from there. Researchers found evidence of plague, relapsing fever, and other infectious diseases lurking in the DNA of some of the dead. Combined with signs that forests reclaimed abandoned fields during that gap, what emerges is a once-thriving farming society in decline, possibly strained by disease, environmental pressures, or both, then replaced by newcomers who moved north into the region.
What Ancient DNA Revealed Inside the Tomb at Bury
Bury’s burial site, a long, stone-lined tomb common in the Paris Basin, held an estimated 316 individuals across two distinct periods. Earlier burials date to the late 3000s BC and end around 3000 BC, when bodies were laid out in extended positions aligned with the length of the grave. Later burials stretched across several centuries of the 2000s BC until about 2470 BC, with the dead placed in curled positions and no consistent direction. Between these two periods: silence. No burials at all.
A team at the Globe Institute, University of Copenhagen, extracted and sequenced ancient DNA from 182 teeth, producing 132 usable genomes. They assigned 74 individuals to the earlier group and 51 to the later group, with 7 that could not be placed in either. Both periods showed a sharp sex imbalance. About 71% to 73% of the individuals whose sex could be determined were male, pointing to a community where more than half of the women were likely excluded from burial in the tomb for reasons that remain unknown.
Two Populations, One Grave
Genetic results left little room for doubt. When researchers compared the DNA of individuals from the two periods, they found the groups were more closely related to different populations across Europe than to each other. Earlier burials showed genetic ties to other people from the Paris Basin and western Germany. Later burials were most closely linked to populations from southern France and the Iberian Peninsula. Statistical simulations ruled out complete genetic continuity between the two groups, though some mixing between them remains possible.
Ancestry modeling reinforced the split. The earlier group carried a mixed set of genetic backgrounds, with varying proportions of ancestry from early farming populations in France and from groups in Iberia. The later group was far more uniform, with the overwhelming majority of its ancestry tracing back to Iberian farming populations.
On a broader scale, researchers tracked a stepwise northward spread of this Iberian ancestry. By around 2900 BC, it already dominated southern France and Iberia, while the Paris Basin still showed a mixed profile until a later push replaced much of the local population and produced the more uniform group seen in the later burials.
DNA also let researchers reconstruct family relationships. In the earlier group, about three-quarters of buried individuals had at least one close relative also placed in the tomb, and researchers built large family trees spanning up to five generations. One family network contained 29 sequenced individuals and 19 more who were inferred but not sampled. Males descended from earlier members of the same family lines, while nearly all females appeared to have married in from outside communities.
One individual, designated BUR174, stood out. Found as a nearly complete skeleton seated in the northeastern corner of the grave, his skull bore three wounds from what researchers believe was an axe. Three children and one newborn were arranged around him in what appeared to be a deliberate pattern. Genetically, BUR174 belonged to the founding generation of the largest family group, supporting the idea that this arrangement was part of a “founding act” for the monument.
Later burials told a very different story. Only 40% of individuals had close relatives in the tomb. Instead of broad family networks, the largest family tree was a single line of fathers and sons, each generation holding exactly two brothers, only one of whom had children buried in the grave. A higher share of unrelated individuals hinted that social or cultural bonds, rather than blood ties, may have governed who was buried there. No genetic relatives linked individuals across the two periods, another strong sign that these were separate populations.
Ancient DNA, Plague, and a Landscape Left Empty
Screening the ancient DNA for disease-causing germs turned up four different microbes. Most notable was the bacterium responsible for plague, detected in four individuals: three from the earlier group and one from the later group. Analysis placed the Bury plague strain near the base of the known family tree of ancient plague strains, making it among the earliest-branching forms ever identified.
Researchers also found two cases of the bacterium behind louse-borne relapsing fever, a disease historically linked to famine, war, and poor hygiene, with an untreated death rate between 15% and 40%. Eight individuals carried a bacterium that causes gastrointestinal illness, and one had herpes simplex virus 1.
Plague prevalence in the earlier group, about 4%, was relatively low compared with some other ancient sites, and the infected individuals did not cluster in the final generations of the family trees. A devastating epidemic might leave little trace if the victims were never buried in the tomb or were buried elsewhere. Still, the mix of infectious disease, an unusual death profile in the earlier group marked by excess deaths among young people, and the abrupt end of burials points to a community under severe strain.
Environmental data added another piece. Pollen records from the Paris Basin show forests growing back between 2900 and 2500 BC, overlapping the long pause in burials. Similar forest regrowth turned up elsewhere in northern Europe around the same time. Forests reclaiming cleared farmland often point to fewer people farming the land, the same pattern seen after documented pandemics such as the Black Death.
A Continental Shift, Driven From the South
Researchers set their findings in a broader European context. Across continental northwestern Europe, construction of massive stone burial monuments, among the most iconic features of the late Stone Age, ceased at the end of the 3000s BC. Radiocarbon dates from similar tombs in Germany show the same burial gap observed at Bury. In Scandinavia, the decline was followed by a dramatic replacement: farming communities disappeared and were succeeded by people carrying ancestry from the grassland steppes of eastern Europe. In western Europe, however, farming ancestry persisted, and until now it was unclear whether a similar replacement had occurred.
Bury points to a western European version of population turnover, driven not from the steppe but from the south. Iberian-descended farmers moved northward into a partially emptied landscape, arriving in the Paris Basin around 2900 BC. They persisted for roughly 500 years before steppe-related populations arrived around 2500 BC and mixed with them, forming the genetic profile typically associated with the Bell Beaker culture.
Researchers raised a provocative possibility: both the northward Iberian migration and the later expansion from the steppe may have been responses to the same underlying event. A widespread population crash among established farming communities would have opened territory that neighboring groups could expand into.
Five thousand years on, a single tomb north of Paris has handed scientists a rare, detailed record of how one farming world gave way and who moved in to replace it. What finally undid a society able to haul tons of stone into monuments, whether failing harvests, infectious disease, or something still unseen, remains an open question.
Paper Notes
Limitations
Researchers acknowledged several constraints on their findings. The tomb at Bury represents only a subset of the broader population, and the strong male bias in both burial phases means the genetic picture is incomplete. Ancient DNA quality varied across individuals, which introduces uncertainty into some analyses, particularly for lower-quality samples. Plague prevalence detected at the site was relatively low, and a severe epidemic could leave minimal evidence if victims were not buried in the tomb or were buried elsewhere. Environmental data, while consistent with population decline, comes from pollen records that offer indirect rather than direct evidence of human activity. Researchers also noted that the Neolithic decline was not perfectly synchronized across Europe, so regional and time-based variations should be expected. Simulations used to test whether the two phases were continuous or separate populations could not completely rule out some mixing between the two groups.
Funding and Disclosures
Funding came from a broad set of public and philanthropic sources. Much of the support flowed through the Lundbeck Foundation GeoGenetics Centre in Copenhagen, backed by the Lundbeck Foundation, the Novo Nordisk Foundation, the Wellcome Trust, the Carlsberg Foundation, the Danish National Research Foundation, the University of Copenhagen, and Ferring Pharmaceuticals. Additional funding came from the Swedish Foundation for Humanities and Social Sciences (Riksbankens Jubileumsfond) and from COREX, a project financed by the European Research Council under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 programme. A separate European Research Council advanced grant, “The times of their lives” (2012–2017), covered radiocarbon dating for one individual. The French Ministry of Culture, the CNRS, the Bury council, and private landowners supported fieldwork at Bury. Authors reported no competing interests.
Publication Details
Paper Title: “Population discontinuity in the Paris Basin linked to evidence of the Neolithic decline”
Authors: Frederik V. Seersholm, Abigail Ramsøe, and Jialu Cao (co-first authors); Philippe Chambon, Karl-Göran Sjögren, Hugh McColl, Fabrice Demeter, Charleen Gaunitz, Lasse Vinner, Jesper Stenderup, Gabriele Scorrano, Ralph Fyfe, T. Douglas Price, Morten Fischer Mortensen, Sascha Krüger, Torben Dehn, Svend Illum Hansen, Kristine Vesterdorf, Thorfinn Sand Korneliussen, Morten E. Allentoft, Kristian Kristiansen, Laure Salanova, Eske Willerslev, and Martin Sikora. Eske Willerslev and Martin Sikora (Section for GeoGenetics, Globe Institute, University of Copenhagen) jointly supervised the work and are the corresponding authors.
Journal: Nature Ecology & Evolution, Volume 10, April 2026, pages 677–688
DOI: 10.1038/s41559-026-03027-z
Published online: 3 April 2026







