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Women Screenwriters Beat the Market, Women Directors Never Get the Budget to Try

In A Nutshell

  • Films written by women, with no woman director, posted a typical return on investment 25 percent higher than male-only films, on comparable budgets.
  • Films with women as both director and writer matched male-only financial returns while working with roughly half the budget.
  • Across 30 years of financial data examined, no film directed by a woman ever cracked the top 1 percent of production budgets.
  • Women’s participation in directing and screenwriting grew only gradually, with no lasting acceleration after the 2017 #MeToo movement.

Films with a woman screenwriter (but no woman director) posted a typical return on investment 25 percent higher than movies made entirely by men, according to a new analysis of nearly 200,000 films spanning three decades. Typical profits, as the study defines them, ran 34 percent richer on comparable budgets. Yet within the financial data examined, not one film directed by a woman, alone or paired with a woman writer, ever cracked the top 1 percent of production budgets across the entire span.

That contradiction sits at the center of a study published in Frontiers in Communication. Researcher Anja G. Huwiler, of Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, examined films released between 1994 and 2023 using IMDb data, then focused on 4,245 films with verified budget and box office numbers attached.

Huwiler frames this less as a story of bias and more as an economic puzzle. Studios are supposed to chase whichever projects pay off best, so women screenwriters should be attracting more resources, and women directors should be landing bigger budgets given how strongly women-written films performed. Instead, the study calls it “an economically puzzling disconnect,” in which strong financial performance simply is not steering where the money goes.

Nearly Three-Quarters of Films Credit No Women in Either Role

Huwiler pulled data on 199,656 feature films at least 60 minutes long, released between 1994 and 2023, sorting each into one of four groups: a woman director with no woman writer, a woman writer with no woman director, women in both jobs, or no women in either role. Gender was determined using a tool that checks whether a first name is statistically linked to men or women, a method less reliable for non-Western naming conventions, so some women filmmakers may not have been counted.

Patterns across the full set were stark. About 74 percent of films credited no women in either directing or screenwriting. Just 4.5 percent had a woman director without a woman writer, 11.2 percent had a woman writer without a woman director, and 10.5 percent had women in both roles. That financial group of 4,245 films leans heavily toward big, mostly U.S. theatrical releases, and it forms the basis for the dollar figures below.

women cinema infographic
Women-written films outperform male-only films financially, a new study finds, but no woman director ever lands a top 1% budget. (Image by StudyFinds)

Women-Written Films Post the Strongest Returns of the Four Groups

Films written by women, without a woman director attached, posted a typical return on investment of 1.10, meaning for every dollar spent, the movie generated about $1.10 in additional box office revenue after covering its budget. Male-only films posted 0.88, still solid, just smaller. The study calculates profit as worldwide box office revenue minus production budget, skipping marketing, distribution, streaming, and other costs and revenues. By that measure, typical profit ran $35.9 million for the women-written group against $26.8 million for male-only productions, on comparable budgets of about $41.4 million versus $39.2 million.

Films with women credited as both director and writer told a different story. Their typical return, 0.89, nearly matched male-only films’ 0.88, but on a budget of just $19.9 million, about half what male-only productions received. Films directed by women without a woman writer showed the weakest returns, 0.44, though that figure comes from a small group of just 83 films.

Zooming in on the top 10, 5, and 1 percent of budgets in that sample, the gap widened instead of closing. Woman-written films in the top 10 percent posted a typical return of 2.15, against 1.62 for male-only films. In the top 1 percent, just 44 films total, woman-written films posted 2.84 and typical profit of $930.4 million, both higher than male-only films. Women directors, meanwhile, made up just 1.4 percent of that top 10 percent and 0.5 percent of the top 5 percent, extending the shutout already noted at the very top.

Audience opinion does not explain the gap. Ratings across all four groups stayed within a quarter of a point of each other, and voting gaps mostly disappeared at the highest tiers too. Movies written by women earned the highest average ratings there, 7.4 out of 10 in the top 1 percent group, against 6.8 for male-only films. Huwiler also checked whether results were a quirk of genre. After adjusting for film type and year, the woman-written advantage shrank a little but held up.

Women’s Participation Did Not Accelerate After #MeToo

Public attention to gender inequity in Hollywood spiked sharply once #MeToo gained momentum in 2017, and participation numbers for women directors and writers might have been expected to climb faster afterward. Testing found a small, one-time bump around that year, but no lasting change in the pace of growth. Women’s involvement in directing crept from 3.4 percent of films in 1994 to 5.1 percent in 2023. Screenwriting participation barely moved, staying between roughly 10 and 12 percent throughout. Only films where women both directed and wrote grew fastest over those 30 years, nearly doubling from 6.7 percent to 12.6 percent.

Three decades of data leave an unusual pattern. Films with a woman screenwriter and no woman director often performed as well or better than male-only productions, yet women stayed scarce in the biggest-budget projects. Whether studios ever adjust budgets to match those returns remains an open question.


Disclaimer: This article summarizes findings from a single peer-reviewed study and is intended for general informational purposes. The study identifies statistical associations, not proof of cause and effect, and its financial findings are drawn from a subset of commercially documented, predominantly U.S. theatrical releases rather than the full film industry. Readers seeking the full methodology and data should consult the original paper.


Paper Notes

Limitations

The study notes several caveats. The tool used to classify gender by first name struggles with romanized Chinese names in particular, meaning some women filmmakers from certain linguistic backgrounds may be undercounted. The financial subset skews toward big-budget, mostly U.S. theatrical releases, since that is where reliable public budget and revenue data exist; independent and non-theatrical films, where women may be more active, are underrepresented there. The woman-director-only group in the financial data included just 83 films, a small sample that limits how much weight can be placed on its results. The study also relies on IMDb audience ratings and vote counts rather than professional critic scores, and prior research cited in the paper suggests crowd-sourced ratings can carry more gender-related bias than critic reviews. Tier-level comparisons at the highest budget levels were based on small numbers of films and are described as descriptive rather than statistically confirmed patterns. The study identifies associations between authorship groups, budgets, and financial outcomes, but it cannot establish that hiring a woman screenwriter itself caused the higher returns, nor why studios allocated capital the way they did.

Funding and Disclosures

According to the paper, financial support was received for the work, and the open access publication fee was covered by Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz. The author declared no commercial or financial relationships that could be seen as a conflict of interest, and stated that generative AI was not used in writing the manuscript.

Publication Details

The study, titled “Women in directing and screenwriting: the capital allocation puzzle in commercial film,” was written by Anja G. Huwiler of the Media Business Division, Department of Communication, Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz, Germany. It was published in Frontiers in Communication on September 22, 2026 (volume 11, article 1838492). The paper carries the DOI 10.3389/fcomm.2026.1838492 and is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution License.

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