Getty Images For Unsplash+
The Hidden Cost of Living Longer: A Decade Spent in Poor Health
In A Nutshell
- The average person worldwide now spends about 10.7 years of life in poor health, up from 8.8 years in 1990, a global analysis finds.
- Americans face one of the largest gaps of any country, at 14.0 years, roughly 17.8% of expected lifespan.
- Wealthier nations have bigger gaps between total lifespan and healthy lifespan than poorer ones, largely because their populations simply live longer.
- Low back pain, depression and anxiety, and hearing loss are among the biggest drivers of unhealthy years worldwide.
People around the world are living longer than ever. Thought provokingly, however, a sweeping new global analysis finds those extra years are increasingly spent managing pain, illness, or disability rather than enjoying good health. Worldwide, the average person can now expect roughly 10.7 years of life at less than full health, based on 2023 population data. That figure covers everything from a bad back to a disabling condition. It’s not a sentence to a decade of severe illness, but it does mean a meaningful chunk of the average life gets lived with something wrong.
A major study published in The Lancet Public Health tracked the gap between how long people live and how many years are spent in good health, across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2023. Researchers call that difference the ‘morbidity gap,’ and central estimates suggest it widened in 203 of 204 places studied, though uncertainty around individual country numbers was often substantial. In 1990, the average person spent about 8.8 years in poor health. By 2023, that had climbed to 10.7 years, an increase of nearly two years, or about 22%.
Researchers point to a straightforward broad pattern: gains in survival have outpaced gains in healthy years. People are surviving conditions that once would have killed them, and some carry lasting health effects afterward. That’s a reasonable read of the data, though the study itself doesn’t pin the blame on medicine specifically, just on the mismatch between how long people live and how healthy those years turn out to be.
A Pattern That Deepens in Wealthier Countries
Here’s a twist: wealthier nations had the largest gaps between total lifespan and healthy lifespan, not the smallest. In 2023, the highest-income countries averaged a 12.7-year gap. The United States topped the list among individual countries at 14.0 years, meaning Americans spent about 17.8% of their expected lifespan in poor health. That U.S. figure carries real uncertainty, with a 95% range running from 10.8 to 17.5 years. Australia and Canada followed close behind, at 13.9 and 13.7 years.
Nauru, the Solomon Islands, and Laos posted the smallest gaps of any countries studied, but that’s not because those populations age more gracefully. It’s because shorter overall lifespans there leave less time to rack up years of poor health in the first place. Longer life, in other words, tends to come with a bigger absolute morbidity gap simply because there’s more life to fill. The picture gets murkier when looking at the proportion of life spent unhealthy rather than raw years, where the link to national wealth was far less consistent, complicating any simple story that richer automatically means healthier.
What’s Eating Into Healthy Years
So what’s driving the gap? Researchers traced it to a cluster of chronic problems that make life harder without necessarily ending it early. Five categories together accounted for 57.4% of all years lived in poor health globally in 2023. Low back pain and related joint and bone problems topped the list, followed closely by depression and anxiety. Hearing loss, falls, and a grab-bag of other long-term physical conditions rounded out the top five.
None of these make headlines the way heart disease or cancer do, yet they quietly consume an outsized share of people’s wellbeing across adulthood, not just in old age. The gap between healthy years and total years widens steadily through the adult life course rather than piling up only at the very end of life.
Women Carry a Heavier Load
A persistent divide separates men and women. Women live longer almost everywhere, but they also spend more of that life in poor health, a pattern researchers call the ‘gender health paradox.’ In 2023, women faced a gap of 12.1 years, about 15.9% of life expectancy, compared with 9.3 years, or roughly 13%, for men. It held across every region and income level studied, including during the brief disruption of the COVID-19 pandemic, when life expectancy and healthy life expectancy both fell sharply worldwide before trends resumed their prior course.
Risk factors most tied to the widening gap overall also emerged from the study. High blood sugar, high body weight, and childhood or maternal malnutrition ranked among the leading potentially modifiable risks associated with years lived in poor health, alongside tobacco use. In wealthier countries, body weight, blood sugar, and smoking dominated. In lower-income regions, particularly sub-Saharan Africa, child malnutrition and air pollution played larger roles. Because these figures come from statistical modeling rather than direct measurement, researchers reported them as ranges rather than fixed numbers.
Rethinking What ‘Progress’ Means
For decades, global health progress has been measured by one number: how long people live. This study argues that number alone is telling only half the story. A longer life that comes with a decade or more of pain, disability, or chronic illness isn’t the win it looks like on paper, and the fact that nearly every country studied shows the same pattern suggests health systems everywhere have a real gap to close, not just a statistic to celebrate.
Disclaimer: This article reports findings from a single peer-reviewed study and is intended for general informational purposes. It is not medical advice. Individual health experiences vary widely, and anyone with health concerns should consult a qualified medical professional.
Paper Notes
Limitations
The authors note that although point estimates consistently show the morbidity gap expanding worldwide, uncertainty ranges for individual countries often overlapped between 1990 and 2023. That means conclusions about expansion rest on the consistency and direction of trends across locations rather than statistically confirmed changes in every single country. Estimates of healthy life expectancy rely on disability weights drawn from population surveys and modeling, which may not fully capture how different cultures perceive or report health. Improvements in disease detection and changes in how conditions are classified over time may also inflate apparent increases in unhealthy years, even when underlying burden has changed less. Data quality varies substantially across countries, with lower-income nations relying more heavily on statistical modeling and carrying wider uncertainty ranges. The morbidity gap is a national average and cannot capture how unhealthy years are distributed among individuals, some of whom experience far more or far fewer such years than the mean. Finally, the breakdown of the gap into causes and risk factors reflects proportional contributions and does not establish direct causation.
Funding and Disclosures
This study was funded by the Gates Foundation. The authors state the funder had no role in the study’s design, data analysis, interpretation, or writing. One author, Shuhei Nomura, declared grant funding from the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology of Japan. All other authors declared no competing interests. The authors also disclosed that an AI tool was used to assist with drafting small portions of the manuscript, and that senior authors reviewed and substantially revised all AI-generated content before submission.
Publication Details
Paper Title: Global, regional, and national trends in the morbidity gap and contributing diseases, injuries, and risk factors, 1990-2023: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 | Authors: Simon I Hay, Paul Nam, Haaris Saqib, Susan A McLaughlin, Catherine Bisignano, Samuel M Ostroff, Marie Ng, Shuhei Nomura, Austin E Schumacher, Christopher J L Murray | Journal: The Lancet Public Health, Volume 11, August 2026, pages e487-e505 | DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(26)00098-8 | Institutional Affiliations: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; Department of Health Metrics Sciences, School of Medicine, University of Washington; Jackson School of International Studies, University of Washington; Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore; Global Health Policy Lab, International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, Miyagi, Japan







